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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197918

Wacker Innsbruck VS WSG Wattens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.04%
Draw
20.18%
Away
61.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0513
Log loss
1.6005

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
375f988990d44264e2363434cbec9554202ff597f9b52a99f2e1caf4c30a7d89

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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