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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197876

Slovácko VS Pardubice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.10%
Draw
20.98%
Away
59.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2411
Log loss
0.5122

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
820b9103e93c301015654ce104da50af309c4259832fdde50036b343e834e525

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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