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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19780

Križevci VS Solin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.66%
Draw
32.44%
Away
36.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5974
Log loss
0.9970

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:04 UTC
SHA-256
33b1158b4caf863ad610a70c634ba62e8423940aa817059ff643b0758a2cfe47

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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