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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197754

Al Gottah VS Al Sahel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.08%
Draw
25.15%
Away
39.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5491
Log loss
0.9221

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
8cac37b865d11e51fc3e553e80d5460a3f99c5c748d1ed8c8f431aee179bb43d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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