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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197747

Vora VS Vllaznia Shkodër

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.39%
Draw
27.12%
Away
27.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4473
Log loss
0.7898

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
9eeb86e552ea8d378c752a2a8b7db0ac9e9a3fe8eaad2436ef080cb5c4edec9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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