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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19770

NK Ormoz VS Dobrovce

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.39%
Draw
33.23%
Away
18.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4105
Log loss
0.7258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:04 UTC
SHA-256
7c42d4c8d620ff2468eb104919873dd15e4226fc3537b6634b282d6b0f70ea67

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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