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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1977

Baník Prievidza VS Rača

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.13%
Draw
33.35%
Away
24.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8584
Log loss
1.4057

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
0a6891c6b4ad72edac24e0fa9ac7079bc9a76a85543c0efc3fdd3b77cb74e494

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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