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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197555

FC Urartu VS Andranik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.37%
Draw
17.91%
Away
13.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1510
Log loss
0.3803

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
2466f685b360514acc291d158641a62eba7f5e2c579c1efdfd49c200c39ad23f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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