Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #197511

Ratchaburi VS Kashiwa Reysol

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.48%
Draw
21.82%
Away
59.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0018
Log loss
1.5224

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
7ff60e978a9ccc9a7ad060ef7c89c8b6c8a1f2fa22811c4b4e323e2ecddb148e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →