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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197477

Boulogne VS Reims

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.56%
Draw
27.86%
Away
41.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7867
Log loss
1.2780

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
82ad1ed2ca0c98101009bbd33e717eb9f78ae5e0aec2db6777c4e4b45707d265

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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