Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #197454

Viimsi VS Flora II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.45%
Draw
20.99%
Away
22.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9938
Log loss
1.5612

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
eacc4e411f67ae21ab445720dac42087348538e534623a1f91b1e47e9dc45f2b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →