Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #197274

Belgrano Cordoba VS Barracas Central

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.33%
Draw
27.53%
Away
22.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8275
Log loss
1.2899

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7b0fbee2a45c07432fbd84d65b0c0a68861f1d633b375ffa43a61a6302be75f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →