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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19712

SJK-juniorit VS JS Hercules

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.06%
Draw
33.30%
Away
41.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5144
Log loss
0.8762

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
cd791e41f05a2b4a8383ed19f6868b9d694530bc7dd8d6f08338125889aae945

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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