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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197110

Sporting Escaldes VS Inter Club d'Escaldes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
5.10%
Draw
11.56%
Away
83.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.4793
Log loss
2.1576

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
154398026a904985393902fba4dd2ae6b874e23332c90591b3ba295c9192ae01

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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