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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1971

Námestovo VS Čadca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.37%
Draw
33.19%
Away
27.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6767
Log loss
1.1029

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
f4682f2e9def7daf10cfa0975190663b8e420651997567a7725b01d9c20b4ffc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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