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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19706

Konkola Blades VS Power Dynamos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.81%
Draw
29.06%
Away
42.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7687
Log loss
1.2444

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:03 UTC
SHA-256
92b6897419ed33eec3a87dc3cb8c74ff58de180fca11f65699506a955ed0d880

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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