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Frozen pre-match forecast · #196876

Intercity VS Elche II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.36%
Draw
25.19%
Away
24.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
3208daa8d30c60d5e4dcb71f3bb2128293abc7be92e56ca3538d04f12fdd3abc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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