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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19679

FK Romanija Pale VS Laktaši

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.89%
Draw
31.92%
Away
47.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9504
Log loss
1.5659

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
a2d80ef4b01cca5fd49ba94bb7fd8319b33ab66c080575f35777bdd601e7222c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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