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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19611

Dolný Kubín VS Čadca

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.02%
Draw
32.78%
Away
37.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5920
Log loss
0.9889

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:01 UTC
SHA-256
c6ce4cadafb3b1243b5a39fa189e120bfdf923779243b72d40e198850122eae4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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