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Frozen pre-match forecast · #195943

Prishtina VS Drita

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.34%
Draw
27.14%
Away
27.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8046
Log loss
1.2903

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
84313fa90e9eeb573484425458652be9e645d04a48debdf9b9f4b23403b4309a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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