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Frozen pre-match forecast · #195892

FF Jaro VS PK-35

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.67%
Draw
25.88%
Away
20.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3234
Log loss
0.6223

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
73dc810a9fdffa6daf07d730e07791b8e1022c6f4618a9543d07910b2af70e99

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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