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Frozen pre-match forecast · #195799

Lobos ULMX VS Chapulineros

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:33 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.34%
Draw
25.35%
Away
24.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:33 UTC
SHA-256
3e796a893eb8c02b77c4ba9adb12bf8a023b1746430bc0e3b2c5c5c15bbacbb6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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