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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19544

Strommen VS Sandnes ULF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.15%
Draw
32.76%
Away
36.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6794
Log loss
1.1160

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
1ebcfd7157dddf6744b204b382161dbbc66553ad4a30dd3685d280ea1677b5bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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