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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19536

PSIS Semarang VS Bekasi City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.01%
Draw
33.63%
Away
30.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6147
Log loss
1.0214

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
7eadd6f1e5f5527aa3a09e100ddc5003ae571c4a539333e85acd443a63b07d41

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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