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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19520

Progresul Fundulea VS Gloria Băneasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.40%
Draw
26.27%
Away
9.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2045
Log loss
0.4401

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
f53d6cea589e79c40d5b27d6e79f128374c66e366c8b41edc7d2e38de0632abb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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