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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19515

Plopeni VS Pucioasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.40%
Draw
26.27%
Away
9.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9671
Log loss
1.3367

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:04 UTC
SHA-256
ac7f66114a1447a9e265d70bee886c8b177c57e94dc1583afe63983b8a9db591

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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