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Frozen pre-match forecast · #195149

KV Mechelen VS Genk

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.89%
Draw
25.30%
Away
45.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
c4a9ee2efab7d5e2f8b6fea4c6051adf0ce113d4fc23a3a42254d5940df9c4ab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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