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Frozen pre-match forecast · #195068

Anges Verts VS FC Mk de Kinshasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:27 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
31.53%
Away
30.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7365
Log loss
1.2026

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:27 UTC
SHA-256
4eb24d0d024825ae9fcd5bf7f5454df15b9209a6041590b548b9601195451352

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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