Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #194774

SK Krumvir VS Sokol Lanžhot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.02%
Draw
25.05%
Away
36.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.6052
Log loss
0.9963

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
128d725312a5d73674a46b9a61de43879da1bc5124673309ca791dbff45c19fe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →