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Frozen pre-match forecast · #194288

Agama VS TelOne

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.66%
Draw
31.15%
Away
29.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5463
Log loss
0.9248

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:22 UTC
SHA-256
b20b4772de104ca4f53549f54a263b781db7819773e50f5bfda4f99eb2ede4bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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