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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19428

Os VS Askøy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.48%
Draw
33.29%
Away
36.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6693
Log loss
1.1000

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:02 UTC
SHA-256
7a09e78df0898e13f642f8c3db6dde4cdeb5dc2f968ff4a513dd38ea3f5951f8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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