Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #194217

Grenoble VS Dijon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.54%
Draw
26.78%
Away
45.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4426
Log loss
0.7835

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:21 UTC
SHA-256
1e1f6686d45abe958ed68ced2ebf636e4c6f55f49d715e8b86c28ea2337321c0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →