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Frozen pre-match forecast · #194158

Bodo/Glimt VS Viking

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.28%
Draw
20.86%
Away
20.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2611
Log loss
0.5399

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
60966f51fbd103c210c39b78029c49c5e8dc184ffc53857477bf8f3dc2f91f00

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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