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Frozen pre-match forecast · #194142

Karmiotissa VS Olympiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:20 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.59%
Draw
26.70%
Away
45.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8045
Log loss
1.2876

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:20 UTC
SHA-256
9c0d53cde3955a377ed9bda0417bde09eb8f8a8f5cc53b85d56fd06c548b17bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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