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Frozen pre-match forecast · #194119

Tritons Vallarta VS Pioneros de Cancún

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.42%
Draw
27.60%
Away
41.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:19 UTC
SHA-256
1e3db4f1caec5c02d77f83a6aa298f827541723d0f7066f77f87e04a5ed6d667

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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