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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193934

Hapoel Acre VS Tira

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.61%
Draw
23.11%
Away
56.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0004
Log loss
1.5793

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
348af4fa96c264bd808dc08ddbaf4c6a33806664209a44e3aa5c0d50cd5b3620

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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