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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1939

HIFK Helsinki VS PPJ

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.82%
Draw
33.35%
Away
44.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9235
Log loss
1.5224

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:25 UTC
SHA-256
78512e31eeb801f2033f2a9f218fa9953c1b281d7a13a569e4288a5f4e2b21ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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