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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193847

Jubbah VS Al Arabi SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.88%
Draw
23.35%
Away
18.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0494
Log loss
1.6729

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
c0274e7ce20fbcef5fce62a5f35286ca617d2db507f3ac69618ae2708a409596

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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