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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193695

Quick Boys VS Eemdijk

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
87.69%
Draw
8.23%
Away
4.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0236
Log loss
0.1314

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
7684e246a26638395d172fc4c5fa108fbb32b37b69b10876992c14d96d0ae640

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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