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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19366

Åsane W VS Odd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.14%
Draw
34.13%
Away
20.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4604
Log loss
0.7953

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
SHA-256
fa94136d2cf48351953aa5e8e79e062b413f6bef6365afd1e19e52f2f9650317

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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