Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #193647

Larisa VS OFI

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.11%
Draw
25.11%
Away
54.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.0014
Log loss
1.6040

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
544834a557bf59b1b6484fd0e1b67225252d3592e8e99a18734716f047429ab3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →