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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19363

Forward VS Sleipner

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.13%
Draw
33.21%
Away
41.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6827
Log loss
1.1022

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:01 UTC
SHA-256
3b929e872271961523d0b4c2caba95dd9865fa5dc7944fe120cb8102164dc154

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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