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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193599

Asane VS hodd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.33%
Draw
19.39%
Away
58.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9805
Log loss
1.4992

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
e1ca5ef54c336ee3f96c728192d90a10d937da9aeb090e298453f6714a6fcb93

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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