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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19354

Tvååker VS Hässleholms IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.98%
Draw
33.29%
Away
40.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5295
Log loss
0.8981

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
b2f48571838cd5bdcef9c81253ce6092fd1681fdc96e4fa80e6d081d24b1a112

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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