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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19352

Ulfstind VS Alta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.03%
Draw
32.78%
Away
54.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3343
Log loss
0.6127

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
3a1f2e8d4381f8cda5218826f68db98b2f0077547c01b7a0fa36b5f5789816e7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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