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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19349

Volda VS Orkla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.29%
Draw
32.78%
Away
19.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4249
Log loss
0.7488

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
6fb311c47105a75b37009911e8e8b64baf1989a4a468e26c488263ee16144e0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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