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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193433

Vipava VS Dob

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
6.65%
Draw
11.45%
Away
81.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0503
Log loss
0.1997

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
9e2a604964dea1ccdfe31be541b568c25404be02453aa1e20dffbfe25908875c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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