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Frozen pre-match forecast · #193369

Csikszereda VS Bihor Oradea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.16%
Draw
24.68%
Away
38.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5813
Log loss
0.9632

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
ae991401c49ac8ae69b5768693e12f96013f3251f379e1d0ab0e0cfa908fe272

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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