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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192792

Apoel Nicosia VS Omonia 29is Maiou

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.60%
Draw
16.68%
Away
9.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1070
Log loss
0.3065

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
37e5a2e7cae465d16dbb2a4dfe85a18bfe62e85b7fa4b6b3f858ed6502f53ce4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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