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Frozen pre-match forecast · #192788

Göztepe VS Yeni Çorumspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.93%
Draw
24.53%
Away
31.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4740
Log loss
0.8225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
e6a21fc036fa84a3f83e0f1c182620abe69b0da28aa04516f7bae9ae61f717ed

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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